US Stocks Rally on Hopes of US-China Trade De-escalation
Market Analysis

US Stocks Rally on Hopes of US-China Trade De-escalation

White House confirms a high-stakes meeting between President Trump and President Xi, fueling investor optimism for a potential breakthrough in the protracted trade dispute.

U.S. equity markets rallied on Thursday, with technology and industrial stocks leading the gains, following confirmation from the White House that President Donald Trump will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping next week. The news has ignited hopes among investors for a potential thaw in economic relations after a period of escalating tensions.

The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite all posted significant gains in Thursday's trading session, reversing losses from earlier in the week. The market's positive reaction underscores how sensitive investor sentiment has become to the tone of US-China relations, which have been strained by threats of new tariffs and disputes over key industrial materials. The upcoming meeting, set to occur on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, marks the first face-to-face discussion between the two leaders since President Trump's return to office.

This renewed optimism provides a sharp contrast to the market's performance just weeks ago. On October 10, major indices tumbled after President Trump threatened to impose a staggering 155% tariff on Chinese imports if a trade agreement was not reached. The announcement wiped billions from market capitalizations and sent a chill through global supply chains, particularly impacting the technology sector, which is heavily reliant on Chinese manufacturing and components.

Analysts are describing the upcoming summit as a critical juncture for the global economy. "The stakes could not be higher," noted one strategist. "A misstep could send shockwaves through American industries already grappling with tariff-related costs and political uncertainty." Key topics expected to be on the table include China's export controls on rare earth minerals—a critical component in many advanced technologies—and U.S. demands for increased purchases of agricultural products like soybeans.

While the prospect of dialogue is being welcomed, experts remain cautious, pointing to the complex issues that have derailed previous negotiations. According to analysts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), the relationship has been in a "state of purgatory," with any potential breakthrough requiring significant concessions from both sides. The market's reaction reflects a hope for de-escalation rather than a firm expectation of a comprehensive deal.

Investors will be closely watching for any substantive announcements that emerge from the meeting. Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi of UBS Global Wealth Management cautioned that any setbacks could trigger renewed bouts of volatility. For now, the agreement to meet is being interpreted as a constructive step, pulling markets back from the brink of a more severe trade conflict and offering a glimmer of stability in an otherwise uncertain geopolitical landscape.